004.942 Non-autonomous system as a model of the production process of technical innovation

Markova Y. N. (АУ «Технопарк–Мордовия»), Gavryushin S. S. (Bauman Moscow State Technical University), Belov V. F. (МГУ им. Н.П. Огарева/АУ «Технопарк–Мордовия»)


doi: 10.18698/2309-3684-2021-1-110131

Development of an analytical method for economic characteristics variation in an innovation process is a challenging task, starting from invention or entrepreneur idea and finishing with market implementation. The practical purpose here is both to minimize the risks and shorten design and implementation time. Theoretical and experimental results presented in the paper show the possibility to solve the mentioned task via applying a non-autonomous differential equation system along with the Lyapunov's First Method for stability analysis. A mathematical model of flow of funds related to the manufacturing and market implementation of the engineering innovation has been studied. It is presented in the form of the system of differential balance equations with unit impulse function in the right-hand side. An algorithm has been developed to analyze the stability of the equilibrium states of the manufacturing process, considering the influence of the external environment “from the right” (preparation of manufacturing) as well as “from the left” (market state). The requirements are determined regarding both the discrete model of manufacturing preparation to formulate initial conditions for the non-autonomous system and the discrete model of the market to calculate the market state dependent coefficients for the system of differential equations. The results of analysis of the economic characteristics variation in the stage of product manufacturing have been presented as 3D phase images.

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