519.8 “Mixed” probabilistic models of bilateral military operations of numerous groups

Chuev V. U. (Bauman Moscow State Technical University), Dubogray I. V. (Bauman Moscow State Technical University), Dyakova L. N. (Bauman Moscow State Technical University)

CONTINUOUS MARKOV PROCESS, MODELS OF BILATERAL MILITARY OPERATIONS, COMBAT UNITS, EFFECTIVE RATE OF FIRE, FORCE RATIO PARAMETER


doi: 10.18698/2309-3684-2017-1-91101


The purpose of this work was to develop "mixed" probabilistic models of bilateral military operations according to the theory of continuous Markov processes. In our research we obtained calculation formulas for estimating the main combat indices of groups small in number. Moreover, we developed a numerical algorithm to calculate the main combat indices of numerous groupings and made a comparison with the results of combat simulation using a deterministic model of two-way combat operations, the model being developed according to themean-value method dynamics. Findings of the research show that the correlation of the forces of the opposing sides, rather than their initial numbers, affects the errors in the mean-value method dynamics.


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Chuev V., Dubogray I., Dyakova L. “Mixed” probabilistic models of bilateral military operations of numerous groups. Маthematical Modeling and Coтputational Methods, 2017, №1 (13), pp. 91-101



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