519.8 Stochastic model of repelling of attacks made by different types of means with a preemptive strike by one of the parties

Chuev V. U. (Bauman Moscow State Technical University), Dubogray I. V. (Bauman Moscow State Technical University)

CONTINUOUS MARKOV PROCESS, COMBAT UNIT, EFFECTIVE RATE OF FIRE, PREEMPTIVE STRIKE, TACTICS OF FIRE.


doi: 10.18698/2309-3684-2019-1-5464


On the basis of the theory of continuous Markov processes, it was developed a stochastic model of reflection by the combat unit of the attack of two different types of enemy units with a preemptive strike of one of the opposing sides. The calculation formulas for calculating the current and final status are obtained. It is shown that the choice of the defending unit of tactics of firing does not depend on which of the opposing sides causes a preemptive strike, but it’s correct choice can significantly increase the probability of it’s victory. The model of two-way combat developed in this article can be used for estimation of the multi-purpose weapons systems combat effectiveness.


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