519.8 Stochastic models of bilateral hostilities of numerous groups while linear dependence of military units’ effective firing rate on the duration of the battle

Chuev V. U. (Bauman Moscow State Technical University), Dubogray I. V. (Bauman Moscow State Technical University)

CONTINUOUS MARKOV PROCESS, PROBABILISTIC MODEL OF BILATERAL HOSTILITIES, COMBAT UNIT, THE EFFECTIVE FIRING RATE, THE PARAMETER OF THE INITIAL BALANCE OF FORCES


doi: 10.18698/2309-3684-2018-2-122132


The article presents developed on the basis of the theory of Markov’s processes the models of bilateral hostilities with the linear dependence of effective firing rate of military units on the time of the battle. Developed the algorithm allows to calculate the main indicators of the battle of numerous groups. Fulfilled the comparison with the results of a battle simulation, received on the basis of probabilistic models of the battle with constant effective firing rate and the deterministic model of a combat with a linear dependency of effective firing rate on the time of the battle. The range of the last models applicability presented.


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